Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 9, 2025 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Auckland FC

Adams (12')
Ingham (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Randall (37')
Pijnaker (66')
Verstraete (75')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, February 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 4-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 1 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Auckland FC
39.65% ( 0.02)	23.59% ( 0.04)	36.76% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.97% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.1% (

-0.21)

38.91% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.78% (

-0.22)

61.22% (

0.23)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

-0.08)

19.95% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89% (

-0.13)

52.11% (

0.14)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.12)

21.34% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

-0.19)

54.3% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 39.65%

Auckland FC 36.76%

Draw 23.59%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Auckland FC
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.13% Total : 39.65%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.76%