Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 4.00am
6
1
HT : 6 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Nando Pijnaker 2' yellowcard
  • Nando Pijnaker 2' yellowcard
  • Neyder Moreno 31' goal
  • Neyder Moreno 31' goal
  • Neyder Moreno 36' goal
  • Neyder Moreno 36' goal
  • Logan Rogerson 40' goal
  • Logan Rogerson 40' goal
  • Neyder Moreno 60' goal
  • Neyder Moreno 60' goal
  • Logan Rogerson 80' goal
  • Logan Rogerson 80' goal
  • Cameron Howieson 84' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 84' yellowcard
  • Jesse Randall 90'+3' goal
  • Jesse Randall 90'+3' goal
  • goal Luke Brooke-Smith 49'
  • goal Luke Brooke-Smith 49'
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 59'
  • yellowcard Corban Piper 59'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hughes 88'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hughes 88'

Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 7.00am
Western Utd 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Guillermo May

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 14, 2025 8.35am
Victory 1 - 0 Wellington
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kosta Barbarouses

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result

Auckland FC 51.82% (-0.13)
Draw 23.92% (+0.01)
Wellington Phoenix 24.26% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.46% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.13% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 46.87% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 30.88% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 69.12% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 15.28% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.72% (-0.07)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5 81.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.99% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.01% (+0.03)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 66.48% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 33.52% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 29.84% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 70.16% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Auckland FC 51.81%
Draw 23.92%
Wellington Phoenix 24.26%
Auckland FC
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 51.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.92%
Wellington Phoenix
0-1 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.26%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 7, 2024 4.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Isaac Hughes 31' goal
  • Isaac Hughes 31' goal
  • Cameron Howieson 53' yellowcard
  • Cameron Howieson 53' yellowcard
  • Nando Pijnaker 70' goal
  • Nando Pijnaker 70' goal
  • yellowcard Hideki Ishige 17'
  • yellowcard Hideki Ishige 17'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 43'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 50'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 50'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 67'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 67'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 78'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 78'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 82'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 82'
  • yellowcard Giancarlo Italiano 88'
  • yellowcard Giancarlo Italiano 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Nov 2, 2024 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • yellowcard Louis Verstraete 57'
  • yellowcard Louis Verstraete 57'
  • yellowcard Neyder Moreno 82'
  • yellowcard Neyder Moreno 82'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 89'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 89'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 90'+6'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 90'+6'