Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Feb 22, 2025 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
6 - 1
Wellington

Moreno (31', 31', 36', 36', 60', 60'), Rogerson (40', 40', 80', 80'), Randall (90+3', 90+3')
Pijnaker (2'), Pijnaker (2'), Howieson (84'), Howieson (84')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Brooke-Smith (49', 49')
Piper (59'), Piper (59'), Hughes (88'), Hughes (88')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, February 15 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-0 Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
51.82% ( -0.13)	23.92% ( 0.01)	24.26% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

0.09)

46.87% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

0.09)

69.12% (

-0.09)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

-0.01)

18.08% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.99% (

-0.02)

49.01% (

0.02)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

0.16)

33.52% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

0.17)

70.16% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 51.81%

Wellington Phoenix 24.26%

Draw 23.92%

Auckland FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.81%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.26%