Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 29.37% ( | 23.2% ( | 47.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.42% ( | 39.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( | 61.92% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( | 25.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( | 60.85% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.9% ( | 47.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.43% |