Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.