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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2026 at 4am UK
 
Newcastle Jets

vs.

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-2 Auckland FC
Friday, December 19 at 9am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-5 Macarthur
Friday, December 26 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 25.66% and a draw has a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.05%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.48%).

Result
Auckland FCDrawNewcastle Jets
52.68% (0.645 0.64)21.65% (-0.012 -0.01)25.66% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 63.93% (-0.633 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95% (-0.548 -0.55)35.05% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.96% (-0.611 -0.61)57.04% (0.608 0.61)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)13.53% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)40.59% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.741 -0.74)26.06% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-1.005 -1.01)61.1% (1.001 1)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 52.68%
    Newcastle Jets 25.66%
    Draw 21.65%
Auckland FCDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.199 0.2)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.68%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 25.66%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2025 2am
Auckland FC
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Verstraete (14')
Randall (41'), Brook (57'), Brook (58')
Dobson (3'), Rose (41')
Burgess (35')
Mar 9, 2025 6am
gameweek 22
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Auckland FC
Adams (12')
Ingham (86')
Randall (37')
Pijnaker (66')
Verstraete (75')
Nov 30, 2024 4am
gameweek 6
Auckland FC
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Moreno (83', 83'), De Vries (89', 89')
Rogerson (58'), Rogerson (58'), Pijnaker (69'), Pijnaker (69')

Timmins (23'), Timmins (23'), Ingham (61'), Ingham (61'), Susnjar (65'), Susnjar (65')