Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.31% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auckland FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.