Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 56.01% ( | 21.59% ( | 22.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( | 60.63% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( | 13.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.23% ( | 40.78% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( | 30.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( | 66.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 56.01% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.4% |