Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.21%) and 3-1 (5.09%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.