Scottish League One Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Palmerston Park

Queen of the South vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
East Fife 0 - 0 QotS
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Matty Douglas

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 0 - 0 Alloa
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Luis Longstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Queen of the South has a probability of 25.55% and a draw has a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win is 2-1 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).

Result

Queen of the South 25.55% (-0.17)
Draw 24.41% (-0.11)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.04% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.31% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.74% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 21.26% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 56.35% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 43.65% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 34.02% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 65.98% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 19.81% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.19% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Queen of the South 24.18% (+0.02)
Draw 39.75% (+0.35)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.07% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Queen of the South 37.87% (-0.18)
No Goal 5.93% (+0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.2% (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 50.67% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.56% (-0.12)
Under 8 37.77% (+0.12)
Over 9 39.53% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.15% (-0.11)
Under 9 49.32% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.61% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 70.39% (-0.21)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 1.5 30.73% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.27% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.41% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 89.59% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.15% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.85% (+0.04)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 79.7% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 20.3% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 50.41% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 49.59% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 25.01% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 74.99% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 9.5% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.5% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Queen of the South 25.55%
Draw 24.42%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.03%
Queen of the South
2-1 @ 6.7% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.63% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.01% (-0.05)
Total : 25.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.42%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-2 @ 9.74% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 5.7% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.45% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.01% (+0.06)
Other @ 9.36% (+0.04)
Total : 50.03%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Palmerston Park
  • Jack Hannah 29' goal
  • Jordan Allan 57' goal
  • Reece Lyon 63' yellowcard
  • Adam Brooks 68' goal
  • Adam Brooks 89' goal
  • goal Alfie Stewart 24'
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 72'
Scottish League One Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Adam Mackinnon 27' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 31' yellowcard
  • Alfie Bavidge 36' goal
  • Keith Bray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Cochrane 20'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 27'
  • yellowcard Jordan Allan 28'
  • yellowcard Jack Brydon 72'
  • redcard Jack Brydon 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 15
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Palmerston Park
  • Adam Brooks 12' goal
  • Jack Hannah 41' yellowcard
  • Jack Hannah 41' yellowcard
  • Adam Brooks 53' goal
  • Michael Hewitt 63' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Lussint 73' yellowcard
  • Brennan Dickenson 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Allan 80' goal
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 10'
  • goal Keith Bray 74'
Scottish League One Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Billy Mckay 19' goal
  • Adam Brooks 48' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran McKechnie 19'
  • yellowcard Ben Johnstone 70'