Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Alloa Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
East Fife 0 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Luis Longstaff

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Alloa 0 - 0 Montrose
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lewis Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw has a probability of 20.45% and a win for Alloa Athletic has a probability of 13.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.59%) , while for a Alloa Athletic win it is 0-1 (4.43%).

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 65.89% (+0.15)
Draw 20.45% (-0.06)
Alloa Athletic 13.66% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.51% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.4% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.6% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 55.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.17% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.22% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 65.79% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 21.66% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 78.34% (-0.38)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 54.93% (+0.28)
Draw 31.59% (-0.02)
Alloa Athletic 13.48% (-0.26)

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 69.82% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.82% (-0.06)
Alloa Athletic 24.36% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.73% (+0.50)
Equal 8 10.31% (+0.16)
Under 8 23.96% (-0.65)
Over 9 54.56% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.18% (+0.22)
Under 9 34.27% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 43.44% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 56.56% (-0.05)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 60.55% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 39.45% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 34.08% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 65.92% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 15.73% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 84.27% (-0.18)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 48.8% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 51.2% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 17.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 82.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 4.24% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.76% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.97% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 99.03% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 65.9%
Draw 20.45%
Alloa Athletic 13.66%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-0 @ 11.06% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.16% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.25% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 7.1% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.25% (+0.07)
Other @ 15.72% (+0.17)
Total : 65.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.45%
Alloa Athletic
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.96% (+0.07)
Total : 13.66%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
LIVE
  • Charlie Dewar 35' yellowcard
  • Charlie Dewar 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 27'
  • yellowcard Adam Mackinnon 38'
  • goal Luis Longstaff 45'+1'
Scottish League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 3 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Alfie Stewart 8' goal
  • Alfie Stewart 8' goal
  • Alfie Stewart 8' goal
  • Remi Savage 41' yellowcard
  • Remi Savage 41' yellowcard
  • Remi Savage 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Kurtis Roberts 36'
  • yellowcard Kurtis Roberts 36'
  • goal Scott Taggart 52'
  • goal Scott Taggart 52'
  • yellowcard Magnus Mackenzie 54'
  • yellowcard Magnus Mackenzie 54'
  • yellowcard Charlie Dewar 90'+4'
Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Indodrill Stadium
  • Miko Virtanen 7' yellowcard
  • Cameron O'Donnel 46' goal
  • Kane Thomson 47' yellowcard
  • Cameron O'Donnel 57' yellowcard
  • Stefan Scougall 70' yellowcard
  • Morgyn Neill 90' yellowcard
  • goal Keith Bray 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 33'
  • yellowcard Billy Mckay 73'
  • yellowcard Keith Bray 75'
  • yellowcard James Nolan 77'
  • goal Alfie Stewart 79'
Scottish League One Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Charlie Gilmour 55' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 70' goal
  • Billy Mckay 81' yellowcard
  • James Nolan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Waters 42'
  • yellowcard Stefan Scougall 44'
Scottish League One Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Indodrill Stadium
  • Miko Virtanen 54' yellowcard
  • Conor Sammon 70' goal
  • Luke Donnelly 73' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 7'
  • yellowcard Calum Macleod 31'
  • goal Calum Macleod 67'
  • yellowcard James Nolan 78'