Scottish League One Gameweek 21
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Palmerston Park

Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 QotS
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Matty Douglas

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Alloa
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queen of the South win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw has a probability of 19.78% and a win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.93%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it is 1-2 (4.35%).

Result

Queen of the South 64.29%
Draw 19.78%
Kelty Hearts 15.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.61%
Under 1.5 16.39%
Over 2.5 63.41%
Under 2.5 36.59%
Over 3.5 41%
Under 3.5 59%
Over 4.5 27.01%
Under 4.5 72.99%

First Half Winner

Queen of the South 49.41%
Draw 33.62%
Kelty Hearts 16.97%

Team To Score First

Queen of the South 65.69%
No Goal 4.16%
Kelty Hearts 30.15%

Corners

Over 8 53.42%
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 34.86%
Over 9 41.9%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 46.58%
Over 10.5 31.48%
Under 10.5 68.52%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 1.5 64.1%
Under 1.5 35.9%
Over 2.5 37.57%
Under 2.5 62.43%
Over 3.5 18.13%
Under 3.5 81.87%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 53.21%
Under 0.5 46.79%
Over 1.5 22.84%
Under 1.5 77.16%
Over 2.5 7.67%
Under 2.5 92.33%
Over 3.5 2.13%
Under 3.5 97.87%

Score analysis

Queen of the South 64.27%
Draw 19.78%
Kelty Hearts 15.98%
Queen of the South
2-1 @ 10.47%
2-0 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 7.37%
3-0 @ 6.87%
3-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 17.88%
Total : 64.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.78%
Kelty Hearts
1-2 @ 4.35%
0-1 @ 3.6%
0-2 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT New Central Park
  • Jacob MacIntyre 4' goal
  • Thomas O'Ware 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Cole 76' yellowcard
  • Brody Paterson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Lussint 29'
  • yellowcard Jack Hannah 30'
  • goal Jordan Allan 63'
  • goal Kai Kennedy 70'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Palmerston Park
  • Kyle Doherty 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 55' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Moore 45'+5'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Callum Flatman 14' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 65' goal
  • Thomas O'Ware 80' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 87' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Palmerston Park
  • Matty Douglas 23' yellowcard
  • Jack Hannah 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Hewitt 58' goal
  • Matty Douglas 67' redcard
  • Michael Hewitt 73' yellowcard
  • Reece Lyon 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Cunningham 26'
  • goal Ross Cunningham 35'
  • goal Scott Williamson 41'
  • goal Samuel Harding 63'
  • goal Scott Williamson 70'
  • yellowcard Samuel Harding 73'