Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.