Scottish Challenge Cup
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.99%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it is 0-1 (4.81%).

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 63.43% (-0.53)
Draw 22% (+0.27)
Stenhousemuir 14.57% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.01% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.99% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 52.59% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.41% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.82% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 69.18% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 19.25% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.75% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 46.69% (-0.66)
Draw 39.12% (+0.28)
Stenhousemuir 14.2% (+0.38)

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 66.65% (+0.41)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.01)
Stenhousemuir 26.52% (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 52.25% (+0.47)
Equal 8 11.24% (-0.03)
Under 8 36.51% (-0.43)
Over 9 41.27% (+0.47)
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 47.75% (-0.47)
Over 10.5 31.36% (+0.42)
Under 10.5 68.64% (-0.43)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 57.37% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 42.63% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 30.62% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 69.38% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 13.42% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 86.58% (+0.15)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 48.82% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 51.18% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 17.65% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 82.35% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 4.88% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 95.12% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 1.35% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 98.65% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 63.42%
Draw 22%
Stenhousemuir 14.58%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.45% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.05)
Other @ 13.26% (-0.22)
Total : 63.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.06)
Total : 22%
Stenhousemuir
0-1 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.14% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.14% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.19% (+0.06)
Total : 14.58%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leyton Grant 39' yellowcard
  • 39' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 44' yellowcard
  • Ross Taylor 55' yellowcard
  • Archie Graham 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Olly Whyte 65' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 79' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 26'
Scottish League One
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matthew Aitken 62' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 90'+1' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 56'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Ben Brannan 2' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 16' goal
  • Keith Bray 48' goal
  • Paul Allan 51' goal
  • Paul Allan 60' yellowcard
  • Keith Bray 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ewan O'Reilly 10'
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 72'
  • yellowcard 76'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matt Yates 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 62'
  • goal Paul Allan 86'
Scottish League One Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 17' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Berry 45'