Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
New Central Park

Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
QotS 0 - 0 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 East Fife
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Olly Whyte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw has a probability of 24.09% and a win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.33%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.74%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it is 1-0 (6.63%).

Result

Kelty Hearts 22.23% (+0.31)
Draw 24.09% (+0.25)
Stenhousemuir 53.68% (-0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.42% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.52% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 24.48% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 51.63% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 48.37% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 29% (-0.93)
Under 3.5 71% (+0.97)
Over 4.5 16.46% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 83.54% (+0.66)

First Half Winner

Kelty Hearts 22.51% (+0.13)
Draw 37.79% (+0.41)
Stenhousemuir 39.7% (-0.53)

Team To Score First

Kelty Hearts 35.85% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.73% (+0.23)
Stenhousemuir 57.42% (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 50.14% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.03)
Under 8 37.95% (-0.15)
Over 9 38.71% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.43% (+0.04)
Under 9 49.86% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 28.62% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 71.38% (-0.05)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 24.63% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 75.37% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 7.42% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 92.58% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.98% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.02% (+0.05)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 80.2% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 19.8% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 49.57% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 50.43% (+0.90)
Over 2.5 24.43% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 75.57% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 8.7% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 91.3% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 22.24%
Draw 24.1%
Stenhousemuir 53.67%
Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 6.63% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 5.85% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 3.35% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.13% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.97% (-0.06)
Total : 22.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.73% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.1%
Stenhousemuir
0-1 @ 11.13% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.13)
Other @ 8.69% (-0.38)
Total : 53.67%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Nathaniel Wedderburn 15' yellowcard
  • Ross Meechan 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Cunningham 37'
  • yellowcard Liam Brown 89'
  • yellowcard Ruairidh Adams 90'
Scottish League One Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
Scottish League One Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Ewan O'Reilly 15' goal
  • Kelsey Ewen 29' yellowcard
  • Gregor Buchanan 47' goal
  • Nathaniel Wedderburn 54' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Cunningham 54'
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 59'
  • yellowcard Callum Flatman 66'
  • goal Ross Cunningham 76'
  • yellowcard Rudi Bryce 86'
Scottish League One Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Central Park
  • Scott Allan 1' goal
  • Michael Tidser 41' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 56' goal
  • Lewis Moore 64' yellowcard