Scottish League One Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
New Central Park

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 0 - 0 Cove Rangers
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Scott Robinson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.88%. A win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 22.16% and a draw has a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win is 1-0 (5.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.41%).

Result

Kelty Hearts 22.16% (-0.77)
Draw 21.96% (-0.81)
Hamilton Academical 55.88% (+1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.92% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 21.05% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 56.85% (+1.68)
Under 2.5 43.15% (-1.63)
Over 3.5 34.24% (+2.20)
Under 3.5 65.76% (-2.19)
Over 4.5 21.07% (+1.63)
Under 4.5 78.93% (-1.62)

First Half Winner

Kelty Hearts 21.25% (-0.18)
Draw 36.04% (-1.04)
Hamilton Academical 42.71% (+1.22)

Team To Score First

Kelty Hearts 35.26% (-0.31)
No Goal 5.38% (-0.47)
Hamilton Academical 59.36% (+0.77)

Corners

Over 8 56.24% (+1.29)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.92% (-1.30)
Over 9 44.32% (+1.17)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.15)
Under 9 43.76% (-1.29)
Over 10.5 33.32% (+0.93)
Under 10.5 66.68% (-0.92)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 26.42% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 73.58% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 8.75% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.25% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.47% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 97.53% (-0.10)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 82.05% (+1.15)
Under 0.5 17.95% (-1.15)
Over 1.5 54.19% (+2.01)
Under 1.5 45.81% (-2.01)
Over 2.5 28.32% (+1.84)
Under 2.5 71.68% (-1.84)
Over 3.5 11.62% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 88.38% (-0.83)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 22.16%
Draw 21.97%
Hamilton Academical 55.88%
Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 3.21% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 2.12% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.27)
Other @ 2.4% (+0.11)
Total : 22.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.38)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.47)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.02)
Total : 21.97%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 10.53% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.1% (+0.46)
0-3 @ 5.47% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.97% (+0.52)
Other @ 11.55% (+0.86)
Total : 55.88%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Liam Morgan 7' goal
  • Jake Hastie 25' goal
  • Lewis Smith 78' goal
  • Jake Hastie 81' goal
  • goal Craig Johnston 42'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT New Central Park
  • Michael Tidser 22' yellowcard
  • Michael Tidser 22' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Davidson 3'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 17'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 32'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 50'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 64'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Dylan Tait 31' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Hara 62' goal
  • Lewis Smith 65' yellowcard
  • Dylan Tait 79' redcard
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 24'
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 24'
  • yellowcard Jason Thomson 33'
  • goal Craig Johnston 81'
Scottish League One Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 54'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 55'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 59'
  • goal Ryan One 68'