Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.