Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.