Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.