Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
New Central Park

Kelty Hearts vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Cove Rangers 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Inverness 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 71.92%. A draw has a probability of 17.05% and a win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.97%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it is 1-0 (3.91%).

Result

Kelty Hearts 11.03% (-0.01)
Draw 17.05% (-0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 71.92% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.35% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 21.65% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 56.57%
Under 2.5 43.43%
Over 3.5 34.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 65.48% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 23.2% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.8% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Kelty Hearts 14.2% (-0.02)
Draw 34.33% (+0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 51.47%

Team To Score First

Kelty Hearts 22% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.32% (+0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 72.68% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.12%
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 34.52%
Over 9 42.87% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.25%
Under 9 45.88%
Over 10.5 32.6%
Under 10.5 67.4% (+0.02)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 14.17% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 85.83% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 3.08% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 96.92% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.25% (+0.02)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 88.3% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 11.7% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 64.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 35.84% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 38.37% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 61.63% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 17.74% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 82.26% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 11.04%
Draw 17.07%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 71.91%
Kelty Hearts
1-0 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 2.87%
2-0 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.74% (-0.02)
Total : 11.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.07%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 12.44% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 12.05% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.25%
2-3 @ 3.26%
Other @ 17.73% (+0.06)
Total : 71.91%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Charlie Gilmour 54' yellowcard
  • Remi Savage 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Owens 20'
  • yellowcard Scott Mercer 54'
  • goal Luke McCarvel 79'
  • yellowcard Craig Johnston 82'
  • goal Robbie Cole 86'
Scottish League One Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Blaine McClure 64' yellowcard
  • Scott Mercer 78' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 87'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Luis Longstaff 4' goal
  • Connal Ewan 13' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 49' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Cunningham 14'
Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Brody Paterson 37' yellowcard
  • Scott Mercer 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Billy Owens 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wallace Duffy 31'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 69'
  • yellowcard Flynn Duffy 75'