Scottish League One
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Cooper Masson 46' goal
  • Adam Emslie 46' yellowcard
  • Joseph Teasdale 46' yellowcard
  • Cooper Masson 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Brydon 43'
  • yellowcard Arran Pettifer 63'
  • yellowcard James Graham 73'
  • yellowcard Lewis Moore 83'
  • yellowcard Aaron Arnott 83'
  • yellowcard Cameron Cooper 83'

Cove Rangers vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Cove Rangers 3 - 1 Montrose
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Lewis O'Donnell

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 1 - 1 Peterhead
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Cove Rangers 55.98% (+3.96)
Draw 23.2% (-0.88)
Kelty Hearts 20.77% (-3.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.57% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.25% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 22.75% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 54.54% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 45.46% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 32.91% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 67.09% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 19.87% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 80.13% (-0.67)

First Half Winner

Cove Rangers 40.85% (+2.10)
Draw 38.96% (-0.68)
Kelty Hearts 20.19% (-1.42)

Team To Score First

Cove Rangers 59.28% (+3.18)
No Goal 6.16% (-0.27)
Kelty Hearts 34.56% (-2.91)

Corners

Over 8 54.38% (-4.97)
Equal 8 12.08% (+0.32)
Under 8 33.54% (+4.65)
Over 9 42.39% (-4.79)
Equal 9 11.99% (-0.17)
Under 9 45.62% (+4.97)
Over 10.5 31.5% (-4.22)
Under 10.5 68.5% (+4.22)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 53.2% (+3.28)
Under 1.5 46.8% (-3.28)
Over 2.5 27.41% (+2.68)
Under 2.5 72.59% (-2.68)
Over 3.5 11.88% (+1.58)
Under 3.5 88.12% (-1.57)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 56.18% (-3.00)
Under 0.5 43.82% (+3.00)
Over 1.5 24.79% (-2.74)
Under 1.5 75.21% (+2.73)
Over 2.5 8.34% (-1.69)
Under 2.5 91.66% (+1.69)
Over 3.5 2.37% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 97.63% (+0.61)

Score analysis

Cove Rangers 55.98%
Draw 23.2%
Kelty Hearts 20.76%
Cove Rangers
1-0 @ 11.07% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 9.32% (+0.64)
3-1 @ 5.86% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 5.55% (+0.81)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.66% (+1.61)
Total : 55.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.39)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.05)
Total : 23.2%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.60)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.38)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.45)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.27)
Other @ 2.15% (-0.58)
Total : 20.76%

Head to Head

Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET New Central Park
  • Aaron Arnott 15' yellowcard
  • Justin Eguaibor 60' goal
  • James Graham 71' yellowcard
  • Greig Young 104' yellowcard
  • goal Mitchell Megginson 41'
  • yellowcard Fraser Fyvie 62'
  • yellowcard Arron Darge 62'
  • yellowcard David Eguaibor 86'
Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
5
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thomas O'Ware 18' goal
  • Ricco Diack 30' goal
  • Ricco Diack 79' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Ware 90' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Emslie 8'
  • yellowcard Ryan Harrington 37'
  • goal Michael Doyle 67'
  • goal Mitchel Megginson 76'
  • goal Lewis O'Donnell 80'
  • goal Mitchel Megginson 84'
Scottish League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Adam Emslie 30' goal
  • Mitchel Megginson 38' goal
  • Michael Doyle 67' yellowcard
  • Liam Parker 74' yellowcard
  • Fraser Fyvie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Johnston 63'
  • goal Ross Cunningham 71'
Scottish League One Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT New Central Park
  • Blaine McClure 63' yellowcard
  • goal Mitchel Megginson 9'
  • goal Fraser Fyvie 47'
  • yellowcard Dylan Lobban 67'
  • goal Fraser Fyvie 71'
  • goal Adam Emslie 74'
Scottish League One Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Connor Scully 29' yellowcard
  • Fraser Fyvie 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Ware 80'