Scottish League One
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • 19' goal
  • Alfie Bavidge 19' goal
  • George McCartney 62' yellowcard
  • Adam Mackinnon 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Alonge 72' yellowcard
  • Oscar MacIntyre 78' yellowcard
  • goal Olly Whyte 6'
  • yellowcard Ross Taylor 60'
  • yellowcard Finlay Gray 74'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Stenhousemuir - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 5.30pm
Hamilton 0 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 2 - 2 Montrose
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Olly Whyte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.69% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 72.08% (+0.22)
Draw 17.69% (-0.15)
Stenhousemuir 10.23% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.51% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.75% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 21.25% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 56.34% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 43.66% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 32.62% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 67.38% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 21.79% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 78.21% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 50.91% (+0.04)
Draw 34.84% (-0.03)
Stenhousemuir 14.26%

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 71.21% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.33% (-0.08)
Stenhousemuir 23.46% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.97% (+1.34)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.65% (-1.33)
Over 9 47.27% (+1.25)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.10)
Under 9 41.03% (-1.34)
Over 10.5 36.25% (+1.05)
Under 10.5 63.75% (-1.05)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 64.26% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 35.74% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 36.81% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 63.19% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 17.47% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 82.53% (-0.27)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 42.63% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 57.37% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 13.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 86.95% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.07% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 96.93% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.46% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 72.08%
Draw 17.68%
Stenhousemuir 10.22%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 12.64% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 10.78% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.5% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 17.46% (+0.27)
Total : 72.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 17.68%
Stenhousemuir
0-1 @ 3.48% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.96% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.53% (-0.03)
Total : 10.22%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Alfie Bavidge 57' yellowcard
  • Chanka Zimba 66' yellowcard
  • Alfie Bavidge 73' goal
  • Liam Sole 81' yellowcard
  • Jordan Alonge 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dale Carrick 66'
  • yellowcard Oliver Simpson 66'
  • yellowcard Zeke Cameron 78'
  • yellowcard Nicky Jamieson 78'
Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leyton Grant 39' yellowcard
  • 39' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 44' yellowcard
  • Ross Taylor 55' yellowcard
  • Archie Graham 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Olly Whyte 65' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 79' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 26'
Scottish League One
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matthew Aitken 62' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 90'+1' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 56'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Ben Brannan 2' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 16' goal
  • Keith Bray 48' goal
  • Paul Allan 51' goal
  • Paul Allan 60' yellowcard
  • Keith Bray 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ewan O'Reilly 10'
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 72'
  • yellowcard 76'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matt Yates 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 62'
  • goal Paul Allan 86'