Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.69% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.