Scottish Cup
Feb 8, 2026 7.30pm
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Falkirk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw has a probability of 21.63% and a win for Stenhousemuir has a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.1%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it is 1-0 (5.84%).

Result

Stenhousemuir 19.25% (+0.04)
Draw 21.63% (+0.01)
Falkirk 59.08% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.16% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.48% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 22.52% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 53.58% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.42% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.01%
Under 3.5 67.99%
Over 4.5 19.97% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.03% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Stenhousemuir 19.95% (+0.04)
Draw 39.03% (-0.08)
Falkirk 41.02% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Stenhousemuir 33.01% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.75% (-0.01)
Falkirk 61.24% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.73% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.07% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.2% (-0.08)
Over 9 48.28% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 40.27% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 37.39% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 62.61% (-0.05)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 1.5 21.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.79% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.21% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.87%
Under 3.5 98.13%

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 82.67% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.33% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 54.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 45.74% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 28.67% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.73% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 87.27% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 19.25%
Draw 21.64%
Falkirk 59.07%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 5.84%
2-1 @ 5.08% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.64%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.86%
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 12.72% (+0.07)
Total : 59.07%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Ochilview Park
  • Michael Anderson 30' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 43' yellowcard
  • Blair Alston 84' goal
  • yellowcard Finn Yeats 65'
  • redcard Liam Henderson 67'
  • goal Calvin Miller 89'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 27, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Callumn Morrison 25' goal
  • Ross Maciver 31' goal
  • Callumn Morrison 39' yellowcard
  • Ross Maciver 56' goal
  • Liam Henderson 68' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Jacobs 9'
  • yellowcard James Berry 23'
  • yellowcard Kinlay Bilham 35'
  • yellowcard Ross Taylor 42'
  • yellowcard Corey O'Donnell 69'
  • yellowcard Kelsey Ewen 90'+1'