Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk vs Hibernian - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
Falkirk 0 - 1 Celtic
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Hibernian 0 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kieron Bowie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Hibernian has a probability of 36.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hibernian win is 0-1 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Falkirk 37.52% (-0.08)
Draw 25.48% (-0.04)
Hibernian 36.98% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.65% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 26.35% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 49.23% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 50.77% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 27.25% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 72.75% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 14.58% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 85.42% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Falkirk 29.76% (-0.27)
Draw 40.11% (-0.08)
Hibernian 30.12% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

Falkirk 44.18% (-0.18)
No Goal 7.07% (-0.07)
Hibernian 48.75% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 57.27% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.75% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.98% (-0.04)
Over 9 45.34% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.93% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.73% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 34.24% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.76% (-0.04)

Falkirk Goals

Over 1.5 36.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.33% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.67% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.46% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.54% (-0.01)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.13% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 36.19% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 63.81% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 13.98% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 86.02% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Falkirk 37.52%
Draw 25.48%
Hibernian 36.97%
Falkirk
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.01)
Total : 37.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.48%
Hibernian
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.24% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.6% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.36% (+0.07)
Total : 36.97%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Martin Boyle 36' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 41' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 80' goal
  • Kieron Bowie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Tait 16'
  • yellowcard Leon McCann 24'
  • yellowcard Calvin Miller 30'
  • yellowcard Filip Lissah 34'
Scottish Premiership
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish League Cup
Jul 12, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Aidan Nesbitt 39' goal
  • Aidan Nesbitt 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard Rocky Bushiri 70'
  • yellowcard Josh Campbell 73'
Scottish Championship
Mar 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jason Cummings 37' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 39' yellowcard
  • Efe Ambrose 75' goal
  • James Keatings 92' goal
  • Brian Graham 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Taiwo 15'
  • yellowcard Luca Gasparotto 38'
  • yellowcard Lewis Kidd 57'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 77'
  • yellowcard Luke Leahy 80'