Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
ET Tynecastle Park
  • Blair Spittal 58' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 69' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 69' yellowcard
  • Islam Chesnokov 77' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 86' yellowcard
  • Elton Kabangu 96' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 105'+1' yellowcard
  • Adam Forrester 106' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Parkinson 46'
  • yellowcard Louie Marsh 46'
  • yellowcard Kyrell Wilson 46'
  • goal Ben Parkinson 59'
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 86'
  • yellowcard Keelan Adams 87'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 97'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 119'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 120'

Hearts vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Falkirk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Falkirk had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.52%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a Falkirk win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Hearts 57.3% (-0.02)
Draw 22.1%
Falkirk 20.6% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.21% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67%
Under 1.5 22.33%
Over 2.5 54.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.31% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.69% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.94%
Under 4.5 80.06%

First Half Winner

Hearts 39.98% (-0.37)
Draw 40.81% (+0.22)
Falkirk 19.2% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Hearts 60.16%
No Goal 5.7% (+0.03)
Falkirk 34.14% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.04% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.92% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.04% (+0.17)
Over 9 49.63% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 38.96% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 38.67% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 61.33% (+0.16)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 54.07% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.93% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.73% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 72.27% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.52% (+0.01)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 56.85% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.15% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.3% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.7% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.22% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.78% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hearts 57.3%
Draw 22.1%
Falkirk 20.59%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.71% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.45% (-0.02)
Total : 57.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.7% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 22.1%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 5.91%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Total : 20.59%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Filip Lissah 39' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 85' yellowcard
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 2'
  • yellowcard Tómas Bent Magnússon 28'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 41'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 77'
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Dylan Tait 3' yellowcard
  • Ross Maciver 21' yellowcard
  • Sean Mackie 24' yellowcard
  • Brad Spencer 43' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ross 53' goal
  • Dylan Tait 81' goal
  • Ryan Shanley 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 40'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Vargas 43'
  • yellowcard Gerald Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 90'+4'
Scottish Cup
Feb 8, 2020 7.20pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Gary Miller 7' yellowcard
  • Paul Dixon 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 23'
  • goal Sean Clare 50'
  • yellowcard Andrew Irving 88'