Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 8.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Falkirk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw has a probability of 22.1% and a win for Falkirk has a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.51%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Falkirk win it is 0-1 (5.91%).

Result

Hearts 57.31% (-0.59)
Draw 22.1% (+0.45)
Falkirk 20.54% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.17% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 22.33% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 54.85% (-1.58)
Under 2.5 45.15% (+1.58)
Over 3.5 32.28% (-1.43)
Under 3.5 67.72% (+1.43)
Over 4.5 19.94% (-0.79)
Under 4.5 80.06% (+0.80)

First Half Winner

Hearts 40.34% (-0.01)
Draw 40.6% (-0.08)
Falkirk 19.06% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Hearts 60.16% (-0.55)
No Goal 5.68% (+0.36)
Falkirk 34.16% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 61.22% (-1.00)
Equal 8 10.91% (+0.16)
Under 8 27.87% (+0.86)
Over 9 49.81% (-1.06)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.07)
Under 9 38.78% (+1.00)
Over 10.5 38.83% (-1.04)
Under 10.5 61.17% (+1.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 54.08% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 45.92% (+1.35)
Over 2.5 27.76% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 72.24% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 11.49% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 88.51% (+0.32)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 56.83% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 43.17% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 24.25% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 75.75% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 7.43% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 92.57% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 2.21% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.79% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Hearts 57.31%
Draw 22.1%
Falkirk 20.54%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.69% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 10.51% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.32)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.23)
Other @ 11.46% (-0.26)
Total : 57.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.49)
0-0 @ 5.68% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.05)
Total : 22.1%
Falkirk
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.97% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.18% (-0.07)
Total : 20.54%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Scottish Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Filip Lissah 39' yellowcard
  • Sam Hart 85' yellowcard
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 2'
  • yellowcard Tómas Bent Magnússon 28'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 41'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 77'
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Dylan Tait 3' yellowcard
  • Ross Maciver 21' yellowcard
  • Sean Mackie 24' yellowcard
  • Brad Spencer 43' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ross 53' goal
  • Dylan Tait 81' goal
  • Ryan Shanley 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 40'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Vargas 43'
  • yellowcard Gerald Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 90'+4'
Scottish Cup
Feb 8, 2020 7.20pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Gary Miller 7' yellowcard
  • Paul Dixon 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 23'
  • goal Sean Clare 50'
  • yellowcard Andrew Irving 88'