Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm

Hibernian vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 0 - 0 Hibernian
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 1.30pm
Hearts 2 - 1 Rangers
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Hibernian has a probability of 29.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hibernian win is 2-1 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.43%).

Result

Hibernian 29.04%
Draw 24.36%
Hearts 46.6% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.17% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.48% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.52% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.42% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.58% (-0.01)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 71.08% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.92%
Over 1.5 35.2% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.8%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 80.5% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.5% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.62% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.38% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Hibernian 29.04%
Draw 24.36%
Hearts 46.6%
Hibernian
2-1 @ 7.1%
1-0 @ 7% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 29.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.36%
Hearts
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-1 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 5.09%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.6%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Martin Boyle 6' goal
  • Martin Boyle 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 74' goal
  • goal Jorge Grant 9'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 45'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cameron Devlin 28' yellowcard
  • Rocky Bushiri 45'+2' goal
  • Craig Halkett 71' yellowcard
  • goal Kye Rowles 9' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rocky Bushiri 35'
  • goal Dwight Gayle 78'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Nectar Triantis 4' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 39' yellowcard
  • Mykola Kukharevych 65' goal
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 64'
  • yellowcard James Penrice 75'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 83'
  • goal James Wilson 87'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 45'+2' goal
  • Cameron Devlin 60' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Vargas 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rocky Bushiri 19'
  • goal Emiliano Marcondes 28'