Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Connor McLennan 47' goal
  • Scott Arfield 57' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 64' yellowcard
  • Stevie May 70' yellowcard
  • goal Kyrell Wilson 6'
  • goal Louie Marsh 25'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ross 46'
  • yellowcard Ben Broggio 67'
  • yellowcard Dylan Tait 67'
  • yellowcard Coll Donaldson 88'
  • yellowcard Lewis Neilson 88'

Livingston vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 2 Motherwell
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 2 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Livingston 34.51% (-0.97)
Draw 24.9% (+0.04)
Falkirk 40.59% (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.32% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 22.68% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 53.95% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 46.05% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 31.65% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 68.35% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 17.74% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 82.26% (+0.31)

First Half Winner

Livingston 29.21% (+0.17)
Draw 42.4% (+0.52)
Falkirk 28.39% (-0.68)

Team To Score First

Livingston 45.81% (+0.34)
No Goal 6.02% (+0.05)
Falkirk 48.17% (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 63.54% (-0.95)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.49)
Under 8 25.28% (+0.48)
Over 9 51.57% (-1.41)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.46)
Under 9 36.46% (+0.96)
Over 10.5 39.91% (-1.75)
Under 10.5 60.09% (+1.75)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 36.44% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 63.56% (+1.09)
Over 2.5 14.63% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 85.37% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 4.65% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 95.35% (+0.23)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 73.73% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 26.27% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 41.99% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 58.01% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 18.14% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 81.86% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 6.34% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.66% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Livingston 34.52%
Draw 24.89%
Falkirk 40.59%
Livingston
1-0 @ 8.13% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.19)
Other @ 4.51% (-0.25)
Total : 34.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.03)
Total : 24.89%
Falkirk
1-2 @ 8.91% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.53% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 6.36% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 4.43% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 3.26% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.2% (+0.07)
Total : 40.59%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Stephen Kelly 34' yellowcard
  • Danny Finlayson 69' yellowcard
  • Andrew Shinnie 88' goal
  • Andrew Shinnie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Spencer 65'
  • yellowcard Tom Lang 76'
  • yellowcard Calvin Miller 85'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Brad Spencer 55' goal
  • Liam Henderson 89' yellowcard
  • Tom Lang 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Muirhead 13'
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 21'
  • yellowcard Michael Nottingham 29'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 38'
  • goal Reece McAlear 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Ryan McGowan 79'
  • yellowcard Tete Yengi 85'