Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2026 7.45pm
Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 2 Motherwell
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Cristian Montano

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 0 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Falkirk win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Livingston has a probability of 35.48% and a draw has a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Livingston win is 1-0 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).

Result

Livingston 35.48% (+3.91)
Draw 24.86% (-0.45)
Falkirk 39.63% (-3.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.52% (+0.89)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.57% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 22.43% (-0.45)
Over 2.5 54.5% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 45.5% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 31.94% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 68.06% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 18.04% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 81.96% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Livingston 29.05% (+1.73)
Draw 41.88% (+0.63)
Falkirk 29.07% (-2.34)

Team To Score First

Livingston 45.48% (+2.56)
No Goal 5.97% (-0.25)
Falkirk 48.55% (-2.32)

Corners

Over 8 64.49% (+4.31)
Equal 8 10.7% (-0.38)
Under 8 24.81% (-3.95)
Over 9 52.98% (+4.29)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.02)
Under 9 35.51% (-4.32)
Over 10.5 41.65% (+3.91)
Under 10.5 58.35% (-3.91)

Livingston Goals

Over 1.5 37.52% (+3.15)
Under 1.5 62.48% (-3.15)
Over 2.5 15.32% (+2.04)
Under 2.5 84.68% (-2.03)
Over 3.5 4.88% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 95.12% (-0.86)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 73.29% (-2.15)
Under 0.5 26.71% (+2.15)
Over 1.5 41.45% (-2.74)
Under 1.5 58.55% (+2.74)
Over 2.5 17.72% (-2.05)
Under 2.5 82.28% (+2.05)
Over 3.5 6.26% (-0.91)
Under 3.5 93.74% (+0.90)

Score analysis

Livingston 35.49%
Draw 24.86%
Falkirk 39.63%
Livingston
1-0 @ 8.11% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 8.08% (+0.83)
2-0 @ 5.35% (+0.51)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.34)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.35)
3-0 @ 2.5% (+0.58)
Other @ 4.76% (+0.94)
Total : 35.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.09)
Total : 24.86%
Falkirk
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.58)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.79)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.57)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.35)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.17)
Other @ 6.14% (-0.83)
Total : 39.63%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Stephen Kelly 34' yellowcard
  • Danny Finlayson 69' yellowcard
  • Andrew Shinnie 88' goal
  • Andrew Shinnie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Spencer 65'
  • yellowcard Tom Lang 76'
  • yellowcard Calvin Miller 85'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
  • Brad Spencer 55' goal
  • Liam Henderson 89' yellowcard
  • Tom Lang 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Muirhead 13'
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 21'
  • yellowcard Michael Nottingham 29'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 38'
  • goal Reece McAlear 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Ryan McGowan 79'
  • yellowcard Tete Yengi 85'