Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm
Aberdeen 0 - 2 Rangers
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Marko Lazetic

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Cristian Montano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw has a probability of 24.61% and a win for Livingston has a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aberdeen win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Livingston win it is 0-1 (7.16%).

Result

Aberdeen 51.27%
Draw 24.61%
Livingston 24.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.85%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.36% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.38%
Under 2.5 49.62%
Over 3.5 27.89%
Under 3.5 72.11%
Over 4.5 15.62% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.38% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Aberdeen 40.36%
Draw 38.44%
Livingston 21.2%

Team To Score First

Aberdeen 57.13% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.76% (-0.01)
Livingston 36.11%

Corners

Over 8 66.96%
Equal 8 10.13%
Under 8 22.9%
Over 9 55.85%
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 33.04%
Over 10.5 44.68%
Under 10.5 55.32%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 1.5 47.56% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.44% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.05% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.95% (-0.01)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 60.07%
Under 0.5 39.93%
Over 1.5 25.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.08% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.04% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.96% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.05% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.95% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 51.29%
Draw 24.6%
Livingston 24.12%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 10.06%
2-0 @ 8.84% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 8.03% (+0.01)
Total : 51.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.6%
Livingston
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Macauley Tait 49' yellowcard
  • 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 58'
  • goal Nicky Devlin 80'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Connor Barron 34' yellowcard
  • Nicky Devlin 43' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 58' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 74' goal
  • Dante Polvara 77' goal
  • Junior Hoilett 81' goal
  • Fletcher Boyd 90'+3' goal
  • goal Tete Yengi 52'
  • yellowcard Michael Nottingham 57'
  • yellowcard Andrew Shinnie 76'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • 13' yellowcard
  • Tete Yengi 44' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 51' yellowcard
  • goal Bojan Miovski 89'