Scottish Challenge Cup
Feb 24, 2026 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Somerset Park
  • George Finney 34' goal
  • Liam Dick 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 74' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 80' yellowcard
  • Jack Simpson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Alonge 27'
  • yellowcard Alfie Bavidge 72'
  • yellowcard Liam Sole 72'
  • yellowcard Alfie Stewart 79'
  • yellowcard Alfie Stewart 80'
  • goal Jordan Alonge 82'
  • yellowcard Chanka Zimba 90'
  • yellowcard 90'

Ayr United vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 31.53% (+1.15)
Draw 26.29% (+0.08)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 42.18% (-1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.44% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 28.56% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 46.94% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.06% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 25.67% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 74.33% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 14.25% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.75% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 26.32% (+0.45)
Draw 42.53% (-0.04)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 31.14% (-0.42)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 43.12% (+0.72)
No Goal 8.33% (-0.09)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 48.55% (-0.65)

Corners

Over 8 54.04% (+0.33)
Equal 8 11.54% (-0.09)
Under 8 34.42% (-0.24)
Over 9 42.62% (+0.37)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.06)
Under 9 45.96% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 32.21% (+0.39)
Under 10.5 67.79% (-0.38)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 30.93% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 69.07% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 11.58% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 88.42% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 3.27% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.73% (-0.19)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 72.33% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 27.67% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 38.83% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 61.17% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 16.12% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 83.88% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 5.84% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 94.16% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Ayr United 31.53%
Draw 26.29%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 42.17%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 8.84% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.16% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 4.97% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 2.93% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 2.4% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.11% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.12% (+0.21)
Total : 31.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 26.29%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.29)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.69% (-0.26)
Total : 42.17%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • James Carragher 11' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 87' yellowcard
  • goal George Stanger 5'
  • goal Fraser Bryden 61'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Logan Chalmers 54' yellowcard
  • Logan Chalmers 65' goal
  • Jack Young 85' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Mckay 29'
  • yellowcard Wallace Duffy 38'
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 50'
  • goal Morgan Boyes 55'
  • goal Morgan Boyes 63'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Max Anderson 27' yellowcard
  • David Wotherspoon 32' goal
  • David Wotherspoon 43' goal
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Adam Brooks 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 61'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Francis Amartey 8' goal
  • Paul Smith 74' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 28'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 45'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 81' goal
  • goal Josh Mullin 35'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 12' goal
  • goal Sean Welsh 19'
  • goal Jay Henderson 74'