Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.