Scottish Challenge Cup | 8th Finals

Jan 6, 2026 at 7.45pm UK

Ayr Ayr United
vs.
Stranraer Stranraer

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup 8th Finals clash between Ayr United and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Next Game: Ayr vs. Queen's Park
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Stranraer

Last Game: Annan 2-2 Stranraer
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Next Game: Stranraer vs. Edinburgh
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw has a probability of 23.14% and a win for Stranraer has a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Stranraer win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Stranraer
54.09% ( -0.07)	23.14% ( 0.02)	22.77% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.01% (

-0.05)

44.99% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.66% (

-0.05)

67.35% (

0.05)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45% (

-0.04)

16.56% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.67% (

-0.07)

46.33% (

0.08)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.02)

33.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.02)

70.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 54.09%

Stranraer 22.77%

Draw 23.14%

Ayr United	Draw	Stranraer
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.09%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 22.77%