Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.09%) and 2-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%) , while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.49%).