Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Airdrieonians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mark McKenzie

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Airdrieonians 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Gavin Gallagher

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw has a probability of 24.93% and a win for Airdrieonians has a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Airdrieonians win it is 0-1 (7.55%).

Result

Ayr United 52.67%
Draw 24.93%
Airdrieonians 22.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.18%
Under 1.5 27.82%
Over 2.5 46.19%
Under 2.5 53.81%
Over 3.5 24.78%
Under 3.5 75.22%
Over 4.5 13.53%
Under 4.5 86.47%

First Half Winner

Ayr United 39.99%
Draw 41.84%
Airdrieonians 18.18%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 58.9%
No Goal 7.55%
Airdrieonians 33.55%

Corners

Over 8 57.5%
Equal 8 11.22%
Under 8 31.29%
Over 9 46.09%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 42.5%
Over 10.5 35.43%
Under 10.5 64.57%

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 46.12%
Under 1.5 53.88%
Over 2.5 20.73%
Under 2.5 79.27%
Over 3.5 7.15%
Under 3.5 92.85%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5 57.65%
Under 0.5 42.35%
Over 1.5 22.59%
Under 1.5 77.41%
Over 2.5 6.24%
Under 2.5 93.76%
Over 3.5 1.58%
Under 3.5 98.42%

Score analysis

Ayr United 52.67%
Draw 24.93%
Airdrieonians 22.45%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 7.14%
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.93%
Airdrieonians
0-1 @ 7.55%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 22.45%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Liam McStravick 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rhys Armstrong 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Dempsey 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 74'
  • yellowcard Curtis Main 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 6' goal
  • George Stanger 36' goal
  • Curtis Main 39' goal
  • George Stanger 58' yellowcard
  • Curtis Main 78' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 33'
  • yellowcard Adam Frizzell 43'
  • goal Ben Wilson 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Gavin Gallagher 15' yellowcard
  • Gavin Gallagher 15' yellowcard
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 19' yellowcard
  • Luke Badley-Morgan 19' yellowcard
  • Dylan McDonald 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 43'
  • goal Dylan Watret 70'
  • yellowcard Jake Hastie 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 7' goal
  • George Oakley 24' goal
  • Jay Henderson 49' goal
  • Anton Dowds 56' goal
  • Anton Dowds 77' goal
  • George Stanger 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murray Aiken 11'
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 42'
  • yellowcard Tyrell Agyemang 86'