Scottish Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • J. Bonnar 51' yellowcard
  • Nicholas McAllister 56' yellowcard
  • Ethan Walker 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Phillips 73'
  • yellowcard Kaedyn Kamara 73'

Ayr United vs Ross County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 1 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Ross County

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Ross County 0 - 1 Queen's Park
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jay Henderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.97% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 51.65%
Draw 25.97% (-0.02)
Ross County 22.37% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.04% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.65% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 28.35% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.1% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.13% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.87% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.91% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.09% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 37.92%
Draw 41.94%
Ross County 20.14%

Team To Score First

Ayr United 57.42% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.22% (-0.01)
Ross County 34.36%

Corners

Over 8 57.24% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.2% (+0.04)
Over 9 45.52% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.76% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.61% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 65.39% (+0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 45.95%
Under 1.5 54.05%
Over 2.5 20.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.84% (-0.02)

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5 57.48% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 42.52% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.49% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.51% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.71% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ayr United 51.66%
Draw 25.97%
Ross County 22.38%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.99% (+0.03)
Total : 51.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.97%
Ross County
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Total : 22.38%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Cup Gameweek 4
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Steven Bell 37' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Paton 51'
  • yellowcard Jordan Tillson 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2019 7.05pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Calvin Miller 12' goal
  • Daniel Harvie 57' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 42'
  • goal Brian Graham 46'
  • goal Brian Graham 71'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 73'
  • yellowcard Michael Gardyne 84'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)
  • Billy Mckay 35' goal
  • Jamie Lindsay 56' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 70' goal
  • Billy Mckay 75' goal
  • Kenny van der Weg 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 54'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 62'
  • goal Andy Murdoch 73'
  • yellowcard Mark Kerr 74'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2018 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Lawrence Shankland 21' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 25' goal
  • Andy Geggan 43' goal
  • Steven Bell 47' yellowcard
  • Andy Geggan 63' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Mullin 12'
  • yellowcard Stelios Demetriou 24'
  • goal Billy Mckay 48'
  • goal Don Cowie 52'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lindsay 61'