Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Somerset Park

Ayr United vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Partick 0 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mark McKenzie

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 0 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Dylan Easton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw has a probability of 27.21% and a win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.87%) , while for a Raith Rovers win it is 0-1 (7.9%).

Result

Ayr United 48.24% (-5.11)
Draw 27.21% (+1.68)
Raith Rovers 24.56% (+3.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.91% (+1.53)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.98% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 29.02% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 45.38% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 54.62% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 23.69% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 76.31% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 12.73% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 87.27% (+0.66)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 38.01% (-3.65)
Draw 41.29% (+1.05)
Raith Rovers 20.7% (+2.59)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 55.98% (-2.11)
No Goal 8.65% (+0.22)
Raith Rovers 35.37% (+1.90)

Corners

Over 8 59.38% (-1.47)
Equal 8 11.8% (+0.19)
Under 8 28.83% (+1.29)
Over 9 47.18% (-1.50)
Equal 9 12.2% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.62% (+1.47)
Over 10.5 35.68% (-1.40)
Under 10.5 64.32% (+1.40)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 43.01% (-3.07)
Under 1.5 56.99% (+3.07)
Over 2.5 17.96% (-2.65)
Under 2.5 82.04% (+2.65)
Over 3.5 6.26% (-1.55)
Under 3.5 93.74% (+1.55)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% (+4.14)
Under 0.5 40.72% (-4.14)
Over 1.5 24.7% (+3.22)
Under 1.5 75.3% (-3.22)
Over 2.5 7.4% (+1.49)
Under 2.5 92.6% (-1.49)
Over 3.5 1.81% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 98.19% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Ayr United 48.24%
Draw 27.21%
Raith Rovers 24.56%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.48% (-1.22)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.73)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.84)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.36)
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 6.25% (-1.55)
Total : 48.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.87% (+0.95)
0-0 @ 8.65% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.42)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.21%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.74)
1-2 @ 6.2% (+0.69)
0-2 @ 3.83% (+0.65)
1-3 @ 1.91% (+0.37)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.31)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.23)
Other @ 1.8% (+0.49)
Total : 24.56%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ross Matthews 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • Dylan Easton 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 37'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Scott McMann 66'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 2' goal
  • George Oakley 12' goal
  • George Oakley 25' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stark's Park
  • Lewis Jamieson 19' goal
  • Dylan Easton 23' yellowcard
  • Lewis Jamieson 43' goal
  • Lewis Stevenson 64' yellowcard
  • Scott Brown 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 45'+2'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 8, 2024 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 49' goal
  • Anton Dowds 69' goal
  • George Oakley 70' goal
  • Anton Dowds 78' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Smith 11'
  • goal Dylan Easton 15'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 18'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 40'