Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Energy Check Stadium

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 7.45pm
Ross County 2 - 0 Partick
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Aidan Fitzpatrick

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mark McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Ayr United has a probability of 31.75% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Ayr United win is 0-1 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.08%).

Result

Partick Thistle 40.39%
Draw 27.9%
Ayr United 31.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.19%
Under 1.5 26.81%
Over 2.5 48.05%
Under 2.5 51.95%
Over 3.5 25.99%
Under 3.5 74.01%
Over 4.5 13.35%
Under 4.5 86.65%

First Half Winner

Partick Thistle 31.61%
Draw 42.46%
Ayr United 25.94%

Team To Score First

Partick Thistle 48.62%
No Goal 7.74%
Ayr United 43.64%

Corners

Over 8 56.08%
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 31.92%
Over 9 43.99%
Equal 9 12.09%
Under 9 43.92%
Over 10.5 32.86%
Under 10.5 67.14%

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 39.27%
Under 1.5 60.73%
Over 2.5 15.56%
Under 2.5 84.44%
Over 3.5 4.96%
Under 3.5 95.04%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 66.98%
Under 0.5 33.02%
Over 1.5 32.19%
Under 1.5 67.81%
Over 2.5 11.29%
Under 2.5 88.71%
Over 3.5 3.2%
Under 3.5 96.8%

Score analysis

Partick Thistle 40.38%
Draw 27.9%
Ayr United 31.75%
Partick Thistle
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.28%
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 40.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 27.9%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.75%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott McMann 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Stanway 51'
  • yellowcard Ben Stanway 52'
  • yellowcard Kyle Turner 90'+3'
Scottish Championship
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 63' yellowcard
  • Jay Henderson 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 6'
  • goal Brian Graham 88'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Aidan Fitzpatrick 7' yellowcard
  • Kyle Turner 24' yellowcard
  • Robbie Crawford 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Daniel O'Reilly 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Oakley 19'
  • goal Jamie Murphy 55'
  • yellowcard Lenny Agbaire 78'
  • yellowcard Jay Henderson 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joshua Clarke 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Robbie Crawford 12' yellowcard
  • Logan Chalmers 19' goal
  • Luke McBeth 27' goal
  • Kyle Turner 36' yellowcard
  • Josh Reid 43' yellowcard
  • Stuart Bannigan 81' yellowcard
  • Luke McBeth 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cole McKinnon 51'