Scottish League One Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Billy McKay 24' goal
  • Calum MacLeod 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Longstaff 73' yellowcard
  • Liam Sole 73' yellowcard
  • David Wotherspoon 73' yellowcard
  • Alfie Bavidge 81' goal
  • Chanka Zimba 85' yellowcard
  • Jordan Alonge 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Taylor Sutherland 49'
  • yellowcard Graham Webster 60'
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 71'
  • yellowcard Craig Brown 71'
  • yellowcard Ewan Loudon 71'
  • yellowcard Kerr Waddell 83'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Montrose - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Montrose 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Callum Sandilands

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 77.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 8.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%) , while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 77.42%
Draw 14.3%
Montrose 8.25% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.46% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.1% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 63.96% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 36.04% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 30.05% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 69.95% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 54.91%
Draw 31.44%
Montrose 13.65%

Team To Score First

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 74.83%
No Goal 3.74%
Montrose 21.43%

Corners

Over 8 60.91%
Equal 8 10.6%
Under 8 28.49%
Over 9 49.85% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 39.09%
Over 10.5 39.21%
Under 10.5 60.79%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 1.5 72.07%
Under 1.5 27.93%
Over 2.5 46.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.52% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.48% (-0.02)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 38.15% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 61.85% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 12.11% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 87.89% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 2.75%
Under 2.5 97.25%
Over 3.5 0.5% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 77.43%
Draw 14.31%
Montrose 8.25%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 12.06%
3-0 @ 10.76% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.3%
3-2 @ 2.74%
Other @ 25.5% (+0.02)
Total : 77.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.88%
0-0 @ 3.74%
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 14.31%
Montrose
0-1 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.53% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1%
Other @ 0.48% (+0.02)
Total : 8.25%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Blair Lyons 63' goal
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Cameron Gill 67' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 74' goal
  • Cammy Gill 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Stewart 2'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 42'
  • redcard <TBD> 63'
  • redcard Ross Millen 65'
Scottish League One
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Matheus Machado 41' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Allan 45'+2'
  • goal Billy Mckay 61'
  • yellowcard 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Charlie Gilmour 41' yellowcard
  • Keith Bray 81' goal
  • goal Callum Sandilands 34'
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Links Park
  • Graham Webster 27' goal
  • Blair Lyons 32' yellowcard
  • Blair Lyons 38' goal
  • Terry Masson 40' yellowcard
  • Andrew Steeves 74' redcard
  • Craig Brown 88' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Longstaff 64'
  • goal Paul Allan 88'
  • goal Paul Allan 90'+4'