Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 77.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 8.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%) , while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.