Scottish League One Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Links Park
  • Ewan Loudon 43' goal
  • Craig Brown 64' yellowcard
  • Kerr Waddell 64' yellowcard
  • Graham Webster 75' yellowcard
  • Archie Clelland 86' yellowcard
  • Terry Masson 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Cunningham 56'
  • yellowcard Innes Murray 56'
  • goal Lewis Moore 73'
  • yellowcard James Graham 75'

Montrose vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 1 - 1 Montrose
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Callum Sandilands

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Ricco Diack

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.29% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result

Montrose 51.62% (-1.39)
Draw 24.29% (-0.39)
Kelty Hearts 24.14% (+1.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.4% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.6% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 20.4% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 57.54% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 42.46% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 35.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.6% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 78.4% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Montrose 36.5% (-0.76)
Draw 40.4% (+0.18)
Kelty Hearts 23.1% (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Montrose 55.98% (-1.23)
No Goal 5.52% (-0.15)
Kelty Hearts 38.5% (+1.36)

Corners

Over 8 45.33% (-3.82)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.24)
Under 8 42.76% (+3.59)
Over 9 34.33% (-3.68)
Equal 9 11% (-0.15)
Under 9 54.67% (+3.82)
Over 10.5 24.95% (-3.29)
Under 10.5 75.05% (+3.29)

Montrose Goals

Over 1.5 52.4% (-1.46)
Under 1.5 47.6% (+1.46)
Over 2.5 26.71% (-1.10)
Under 2.5 73.29% (+1.11)
Over 3.5 11.11% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 88.89% (+0.96)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 61.84% (+1.66)
Under 0.5 38.16% (-1.66)
Over 1.5 29.85% (+1.32)
Under 1.5 70.15% (-1.31)
Over 2.5 11.05% (+0.82)
Under 2.5 88.95% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 3.41% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 96.59% (-0.46)

Score analysis

Montrose 51.62%
Draw 24.29%
Kelty Hearts 24.15%
Montrose
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.39)
3-2 @ 3.53% (+0.44)
Other @ 10.76% (-0.92)
Total : 51.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.35% (-0.05)
Total : 24.29%
Kelty Hearts
1-2 @ 6.16% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 5.59% (+0.59)
0-2 @ 3.23% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.06% (+0.50)
Total : 24.15%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • 50' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ferguson 50' yellowcard
  • 50' yellowcard
  • Alex Ferguson 50' yellowcard
  • Craig Clay 50' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • goal Blair Lyons 12'
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 37'
  • goal Thomas O'Ware 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard 38'
  • yellowcard Sean Dillon 49'
  • yellowcard 49'
  • goal Callum Sandilands 53'
  • yellowcard Kyle McClements 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle McClenents 85'
  • yellowcard 86'
  • yellowcard Kyle McClenents 86'
  • yellowcard Sean Dillon 86'
Scottish League One
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Blaine McClure 23' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 77'
Scottish League One Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Links Park
  • Blair Lyons 74' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 80' yellowcard
Scottish League One Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Craig Johnston 24' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Ware 79' yellowcard
  • Thomas O'Ware 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 39'
  • goal Matheus Machado 68'
  • goal Ben MacIver-Redwood 74'
  • yellowcard Paul Watson 88'
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Links Park
  • Ali Shrive 54' yellowcard
  • Craig Brown 59' goal
  • Michael Gardyne 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Johnston 35'
  • goal Ross Cunningham 68'