Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.29% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.