Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
New Douglas Park

Hamilton Academical vs Montrose - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Alloa 3 - 0 Hamilton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oli Shaw

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Montrose 3 - 2 QotS
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Callum Sandilands

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw has a probability of 24.24% and a win for Montrose has a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Montrose win it is 0-1 (6.38%).

Result

Hamilton Academical 51.74% (-0.19)
Draw 24.24% (-0.05)
Montrose 24.02% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.5% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 23.5% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.67% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 47.33% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.4% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 69.6% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 18.01% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.99% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Hamilton Academical 40.29% (-0.01)
Draw 38.64%
Montrose 21.08% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Hamilton Academical 60.85% (-0.06)
No Goal 6.07% (-0.01)
Montrose 33.08% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.02% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.5% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.39% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.98% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.58% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.42% (-0.04)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 1.5 49.01% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 50.99% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 23.75% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 76.25% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.52% (+0.02)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 59.92% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 40.08% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 26.93% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 73.07% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 9.3% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 90.7% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 2.65% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.35% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Hamilton Academical 51.74%
Draw 24.24%
Montrose 24.02%
Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.05% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.3% (-0.03)
Total : 51.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.01)
Total : 24.24%
Montrose
0-1 @ 6.38% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.31% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47% (+0.07)
Total : 24.02%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Links Park
  • Blair Lyons 25' goal
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 24'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 73'
Scottish League One Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Hope CBD Stadium
  • Kevin O'Hara 16' goal
  • yellowcard Blair Lyons 31'
  • yellowcard Liam Callaghan 79'
  • goal Luke Graham 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Craig Brown 53' yellowcard
  • Miller Thomson 60' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Watson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 27'
  • yellowcard Scott Martin 37'
  • goal Joe McGlynn 41'
  • goal Jamie Barjonas 58'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 85'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 90'+4'
Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fountain of Youth Stadium
  • Dylan Tait 4' goal
  • Reghan Tumilty 58' yellowcard
  • Dylan Tait 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aidan Quinn 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Graham Webster 57'
  • yellowcard Matheus Machado 72'