Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.