Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.