Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Liam Dick 39' yellowcard
  • Marco Rus 58' yellowcard
  • F. Turley 59' yellowcard
  • Shaun Want 60' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 83' goal
  • goal Callum Smith 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruth 73'
  • yellowcard Ricki Lamie 81'
  • goal Michael Ruth 87'

Ayr United vs Queen's Park - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 1.00pm
Queen's Park 1 - 0 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Aidan Connolly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.23% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 61.85% (+61.85)
Draw 22.23% (+22.23)
Queen's Park 15.92% (+15.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.48% (+48.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (+74.64)
Under 1.5 25.36% (+25.36)
Over 2.5 50.77% (+50.77)
Under 2.5 49.23% (+49.23)
Over 3.5 28.52% (+28.52)
Under 3.5 71.48% (+71.48)
Over 4.5 17.44% (+17.45)
Under 4.5 82.56% (+82.56)

First Half Winner

Ayr United 45.8% (+45.80)
Draw 37.71% (+37.71)
Queen's Park 16.49% (+16.49)

Team To Score First

Ayr United 64.31% (+64.31)
No Goal 6.91% (+6.91)
Queen's Park 28.78% (+28.78)

Corners

Over 8 50.56% (+50.56)
Equal 8 12.12% (+12.12)
Under 8 37.32% (+37.32)
Over 9 38.89% (+38.89)
Equal 9 11.67% (+11.67)
Under 9 49.44% (+49.44)
Over 10.5 28.57% (+28.57)
Under 10.5 71.43% (+71.44)

Ayr United Goals

Over 1.5 54.82% (+54.82)
Under 1.5 45.18% (+45.18)
Over 2.5 28.21% (+28.21)
Under 2.5 71.79% (+71.80)
Over 3.5 12.03% (+12.03)
Under 3.5 87.97% (+87.97)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5 49.62% (+49.62)
Under 0.5 50.38% (+50.38)
Over 1.5 18.09% (+18.09)
Under 1.5 81.91% (+81.91)
Over 2.5 4.81% (+4.81)
Under 2.5 95.19% (+95.19)
Over 3.5 1.07% (+1.07)
Under 3.5 98.93% (+98.93)

Score analysis

Ayr United 61.84%
Draw 22.23%
Queen's Park 15.92%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 10.05%
3-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 11.97% (+11.97)
Total : 61.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.06% (+0.06)
Total : 22.23%
Queen's Park
0-1 @ 5.35%
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.24%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.01% (+1.01)
Total : 15.92%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Jamie Murphy 16' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 54' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 7'
  • goal Sebastian Drozd 23'
  • goal Roddy MacGregor 31'
  • yellowcard Aidan McGinlay 42'
  • yellowcard Adam Montgomery 59'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Calum Ferrie 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Duncan 69' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Rus 65'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 75'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 76'
  • goal Curtis Main 79'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 31' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 39' goal
  • George Oakley 76' goal
  • Ryan Howley 84' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 57'
  • yellowcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 73'
  • goal Josh Hinds 81'
  • goal Jack Turner 83'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • redcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Cammy Kerr 35' goal
  • Cammy Kerr 72' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mackenzie 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 13'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 58'
  • yellowcard Roy Syla 78'