Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.23% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.