Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 
Queen's Park

vs.

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw has a probability of 21.77% and a win for Queen's Park has a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.35%) , while for a Queen's Park win it is 0-1 (5.45%).

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawQueen's Park
61.59% (-0.055 -0.05)21.77% (0.023 0.02)16.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)47.65% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)69.84% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)14.95% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.64% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)43.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)41.89% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (0.019000000000002 0.02)78.34% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 61.59%
    Queen's Park 16.63%
    Draw 21.77%
Ayr UnitedDrawQueen's Park
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 61.59%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.63%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2025 3pm
Aug 30, 2025 3pm
Apr 26, 2025 3pm
gameweek 35
Ayr
2-2
Queen's Park
Murphy (16'), McKenzie (54')
Musonda (56')
Drozd (23'), MacGregor (31')
Drozd (7'), McGinlay (42'), Montgomery (59')
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Queen's Park
2-3
Ayr
Turner (49', 49'), Rudden (54', 54')
Ferrie (66'), Duncan (69'), Welsh (89')
Rus (65'), Dempsey (76'), Main (79')
McKenzie (75'), Rus (80')
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
gameweek 14
Ayr
3-2
Queen's Park
Henderson (31' pen.), McKenzie (39'), Oakley (76')
Howley (84'), Hislop (90+1')
Hinds (81'), Turner (83')
Thomson (57'), Hickey-Fugaccia (73'), Drozd (89')
Hickey-Fugaccia (90+3')