Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 1

FT McDiarmid Park

Reece McAlear 16'
C. Diabate 42'
T. Steven 52'
T. Steven 53'
Adam Forrester 64'
Adam Forrester 65'
R. Paton 71'
R. Paton 86'

Liam Dick 18'
George Finney 59'
Jamie Hislop 75'
Jamie Hislop 76'
Lucas McRoberts 88'
F. Turley 88'

St Johnstone vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

D
D
D
W
D
L

Scottish Championship

D
D
W
D
L
W

Last game

Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm

Queen's Park 1 - 1 St Johnstone

Goals scored

50

Top scorer

Josh McPake

Ayr United

All competitions

L
D
D
W
L
L

Scottish Championship

D
W
L
D
D
W

Last game

Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm

Ayr 0 - 0 Ross County

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.33% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.44%) and 2-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Ayr United win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

St Johnstone 59.1%

Draw 22.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Ayr United 18.57%

Both Teams to Score:

54.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 21.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 55.63% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 44.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 32.89% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 67.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 19.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 4.5 80.42% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

St Johnstone 42.18%

Draw 38.55%

Ayr United 19.28%

Team To Score First

St Johnstone 63.06%

No Goal 5.83%

Ayr United 31.11%

Corners

Over 8 62.2%

Equal 8 11.08%

Under 8 26.72%

Over 9 50.49%

Equal 9 11.71%

Under 9 37.8%

Over 10.5 39.18%

Under 10.5 60.82% ▼ (-0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 1.5 56.34%

Under 1.5 43.66%

Over 2.5 28.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 71.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 55.09%

Under 0.5 44.91%

Over 1.5 23.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 76.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 93.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 98.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

St Johnstone 59.12%

Draw 22.33%

Ayr United 18.57%

St Johnstone

1-0 @ 10.74% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 10.44% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 6.36%

3-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.22%

Other @ 12.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 59.12%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 5.83%

2-2 @ 5.29%

3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.02%

Total : 22.33%

Ayr United

1-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.67%

2-3 @ 1.62%

Other @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 18.57%

Head to Head

Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 2

FT McDiarmid Park

Josh McPake 30'
J. McPake 30'
Stevie Mallan 46'
Kai Fotheringham 46'
James Gullan 46'
Jamie Gullan 46'
Jonathan Svedberg 63'
J. Svedberg 63'
Liam Smith 72'
Liam Smith 89'
James Gullan 90'+4'
Jamie Gullan 90'+4'
James Gullan 90'+4'
Jamie Gullan 90'+4'

George Oakley 15'
George Oakley 28'
Nick McAllister 46'
Nicholas McAllister 46'
Kevin Holt 47'
Ethan Walker 75'
Jude Bonnar 80'
J. Bonnar 80'

Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm

2

4

HT : 2 0

FT

Mark McKenzie 8'
Jamie Murphy 14'
Anton Dowds 67'

Matty Foulds 47'
Cheick Diabate 71'
Adam Forrester 74'
Josh McPake 77'
Adama Sidibeh 78'
Josh McPake 87'
90'
Josh McPake 90'
Kai Fotheringham 90'+2'

Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT McDiarmid Park

Max Kucheriavyi 43'
Graham Carey 84'
Taylor Steven 90'+3'
T. Steven 90'+3'

George Stanger 29'
Ben Dempsey 35'
Andy Murdoch 67'
Nick McAllister 70'
Ben Dempsey 71'
Jamie Murphy 73'

Jul 23, 2022 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT McDiarmid Park

Graham Carey 2'

Finn Ecrepont 77'

Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Aaron Drinan 4'
Aaron Muirhead 23'
Aaron Muirhead 26'
Grant Gillespie 58'

Aaron Muirhead 18' (OG)
Callum Hendry 27'

Form Data

Queen's Park 1 - 1 St Johnstone

Raith Rovers 0 - 0 St Johnstone

St Johnstone 3 - 3 Ayr

Airdrieonians 0 - 1 St Johnstone

St Johnstone 2 - 2 Partick

St Johnstone 0 - 1 Dunfermline

Ayr 1 - 2 Inverness

Ayr 0 - 0 Ross County

St Johnstone 3 - 3 Ayr

Ayr 2 - 1 Raith Rovers

Partick 2 - 1 Ayr

Dundee Utd 2 - 0 Ayr