Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (9.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.