Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.34% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%) , while for a Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.