Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Queen's Park 0 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Johnstone win with a probability of 62.67%. A draw has a probability of 21.98% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic has a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it is 0-1 (5.17%).

Result

St Johnstone 62.67% (+0.04)
Draw 21.98%
Dunfermline Athletic 15.35% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 25.2% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.35% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.65% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 28.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.91% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.48% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.52% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

St Johnstone 45.44% (+0.01)
Draw 37.7%
Dunfermline Athletic 16.86%

Team To Score First

St Johnstone 63.76% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.81% (+0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 29.43% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.5% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.62% (-0.02)
Under 8 26.87% (+0.02)
Over 9 49.29% (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 38.49% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.61%
Under 10.5 62.39%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 1.5 55.13% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.87% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.62% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.26%
Under 3.5 88.74%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 50.13% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 49.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 17.61% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 82.39% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.73% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.98%
Under 3.5 99.02%

Score analysis

St Johnstone 62.68%
Draw 21.99%
Dunfermline Athletic 15.37%
St Johnstone
1-0 @ 13.26% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.68% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.25%
Total : 62.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.81% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.99%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.21% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.37%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET East End Park
  • Declan McManus 59' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 113' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 116' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Rooney 94'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 118'