Scottish Cup
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Arbroath

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Arbroath has a probability of 34.16% and a draw has a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Airdrieonians win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Arbroath win is 0-1 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Airdrieonians 38.9%
Draw 26.94% (+0.07)
Arbroath 34.16% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.55% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.32%
Under 3.5 74.68%
Over 4.5 13.94%
Under 4.5 86.06%

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 30.78% (-0.02)
Draw 42.29% (-0.01)
Arbroath 26.93% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 48.17% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.58% (+0.02)
Arbroath 43.25% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.9%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 29.06%
Over 9 48.46% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 40.1%
Over 10.5 37.58%
Under 10.5 62.42%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 36.56%
Under 1.5 63.44%
Over 2.5 14.93% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.07% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.61%
Under 3.5 95.39%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 67% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.21% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.7%
Under 2.5 87.3%
Over 3.5 3.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 38.89%
Draw 26.94%
Arbroath 34.17%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 10.31% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.27%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 4.47% (-0.02)
Total : 38.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 26.94%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 9.38% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.61% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Arran Pettifer 67' goal
  • 82' redcard
  • Jack Wilkie 82' redcard
  • yellowcard 43'
  • yellowcard Lewis Strapp 43'
  • yellowcard Dylan McDonald 61'
  • yellowcard 72'
  • yellowcard Jamie Barjonas 72'
  • yellowcard Dean McMaster 78'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • goal Lewis Strapp 90'+1'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Chris Mochrie 90'+3'
Scottish Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Michael McKenna 50' yellowcard
  • Jay Bird 90'+1' goal
  • Gordon Walker 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Hancock 26'
  • goal Callum Fordyce 72'
  • yellowcard Kanayo Megwa 78'
  • goal Gabriel McGill 81'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Penny Cars Stadium
  • Arron Lyall 39' goal
  • Adam Frizzell 41' yellowcard
  • Mason Hancock 47' goal
  • Liam McStravick 45'+3' goal
  • Callum Fordyce 57' yellowcard
  • Charlie Telfer 69' goal
  • Craig Watson 77' goal
  • goal Ryan Dow 16'
  • yellowcard David Gold 22'
  • yellowcard Jay Bird 26'
  • yellowcard Ricky Little 44'
  • goal David Gold 54'
  • yellowcard Michael McKenna 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Penny Cars Stadium
  • Liam McStravick 19' goal
  • Lewis McGregor 79' goal