Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.03%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.