Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.