Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.49% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.