Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Aaron Muirhead 58' goal
  • Jacob MacIntyre 82' yellowcard
  • Jacob MacIntyre 83' yellowcard
  • Scott Robinson 89' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Todorov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owen Moffat 67'
  • goal Michael Garrity 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 84'
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 85'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 90'
  • yellowcard Scott Robinson 90'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 90'+1'

Arbroath vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 0 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Brooklyn Kabongolo

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Partick 3 - 2 Morton
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.49% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Arbroath 55.81% (+0.21)
Draw 25.49% (-0.11)
Greenock Morton 18.7% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.56%
Under 1.5 28.44%
Over 2.5 46.24% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.76% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 24.72% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 75.28% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.27% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 85.73% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 40.91%
Draw 41.32%
Greenock Morton 17.78%

Team To Score First

Arbroath 60.19% (-0.38)
No Goal 8.01% (-0.05)
Greenock Morton 31.8% (+0.42)

Corners

Over 8 51.31% (+0.97)
Equal 8 12.08% (-0.11)
Under 8 36.61% (-0.86)
Over 9 39.6% (+0.97)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.03)
Under 9 48.69% (-0.97)
Over 10.5 29.2% (+0.90)
Under 10.5 70.8% (-0.91)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 48.49% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 51.51% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 22.9% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 77.1% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 8.86% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 91.14% (-0.13)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 52.93% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 47.07% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 19.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.34% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.54% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 94.46% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 1.38%
Under 3.5 98.62%

Score analysis

Arbroath 55.81%
Draw 25.5%
Greenock Morton 18.69%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 13.92% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 10.23% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.27% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.64% (+0.09)
Total : 55.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.05)
Total : 25.5%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Total : 18.69%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Michael McKenna 68' goal
  • George Oakley 76' yellowcard
  • Calum Waters 86' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Crawford 56'
  • goal George Oakley 58'
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Alan Power 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 63' goal
  • George Oakley 75' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Keaghan Jacobs 25'
  • redcard Keaghan Jacobs 28'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 29'
  • yellowcard Jay Bird 48'
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 50'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Thomas O'Brien 42' yellowcard
  • David Gold 61' goal
  • goal Lewis McGrattan 37'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Strapp 67'
  • yellowcard Tyler French 74'
  • goal George Oakley 79'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Kirk Broadfoot 19' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 82' yellowcard
  • goal Michael McKenna 20'
  • yellowcard Craig Slater 47'
  • yellowcard David Gold 53'
  • goal Iain Wilson 73' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 90'+1'
  • goal Joao Balde 90'+4'