Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2026 7.45pm
Gayfield Park

Arbroath vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 0 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Brooklyn Kabongolo

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Arron Lyall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw has a probability of 25.49% and a win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Greenock Morton win it is 0-1 (6.51%).

Result

Arbroath 55.81% (+0.21)
Draw 25.49% (-0.11)
Greenock Morton 18.7% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.56%
Under 1.5 28.44%
Over 2.5 46.24% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.76% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 24.72% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 75.28% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.27% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 85.73% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 40.91%
Draw 41.32%
Greenock Morton 17.78%

Team To Score First

Arbroath 60.19% (-0.38)
No Goal 8.01% (-0.05)
Greenock Morton 31.8% (+0.42)

Corners

Over 8 51.31% (+0.97)
Equal 8 12.08% (-0.11)
Under 8 36.61% (-0.86)
Over 9 39.6% (+0.97)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.03)
Under 9 48.69% (-0.97)
Over 10.5 29.2% (+0.90)
Under 10.5 70.8% (-0.91)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 48.49% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 51.51% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 22.9% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 77.1% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 8.86% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 91.14% (-0.13)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 52.93% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 47.07% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 19.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.34% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.54% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 94.46% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 1.38%
Under 3.5 98.62%

Score analysis

Arbroath 55.81%
Draw 25.5%
Greenock Morton 18.69%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 13.92% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 10.23% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.27% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.64% (+0.09)
Total : 55.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.05)
Total : 25.5%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Total : 18.69%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Michael McKenna 68' goal
  • George Oakley 76' yellowcard
  • Calum Waters 86' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Crawford 56'
  • goal George Oakley 58'
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Alan Power 34' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 63' goal
  • George Oakley 75' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 82' goal
  • yellowcard Keaghan Jacobs 25'
  • redcard Keaghan Jacobs 28'
  • yellowcard Mark Stowe 29'
  • yellowcard Jay Bird 48'
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 50'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Thomas O'Brien 42' yellowcard
  • David Gold 61' goal
  • goal Lewis McGrattan 37'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Strapp 67'
  • yellowcard Tyler French 74'
  • goal George Oakley 79'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Kirk Broadfoot 19' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 82' yellowcard
  • goal Michael McKenna 20'
  • yellowcard Craig Slater 47'
  • yellowcard David Gold 53'
  • goal Iain Wilson 73' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aaron Steele 90'+1'
  • goal Joao Balde 90'+4'