Scottish Cup
Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm
Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

St Mirren

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Airdrieonians has a probability of 24.97% and a draw has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win is 1-0 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Airdrieonians 24.97% (-0.07)
Draw 24.58% (-0.19)
St Mirren 50.4% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.84% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.99% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 27.01% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 48.64% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 51.36% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 26.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.7% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.95% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 85.05% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Airdrieonians 20.72% (-0.43)
Draw 42.3% (+0.12)
St Mirren 36.98% (+0.30)

Team To Score First

Airdrieonians 35.62% (-0.41)
No Goal 7.59% (-0.12)
St Mirren 56.79% (+0.51)

Corners

Over 8 60.45% (+0.83)
Equal 8 11.45% (+0.31)
Under 8 28.1% (-1.13)
Over 9 48.52% (+0.41)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.42)
Under 9 39.55% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 37.16% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.84% (+0.04)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 1.5 25.31% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 74.69% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.36% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.64% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.13% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.87% (-0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 22.87% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 45.58% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 54.42% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 21.07% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 78.93% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 7.88% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.12% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Airdrieonians 24.98%
Draw 24.58%
St Mirren 50.4%
Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 5.97% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.09% (-0.03)
Total : 24.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.03)
Total : 24.58%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 11.79% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 9.65% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 5.11% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 4.69%
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.84%
Total : 50.4%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Excelsior Stadium
  • Justin Devenny 66' goal
  • Cameron Ballantyne 79' yellowcard
  • Kyan Gunn 90'+5' goal
  • redcard Greg Kiltie 33'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kieran MacDonald 9' goal
  • Gavin Reilly 31' goal
  • Gary MacKenzie 51' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 69' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 82' goal
  • Cameron Smith 88' goal
  • yellowcard Murray Loudon 59'