Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.