Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%) , while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.