Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2026 3.00pm
Tynecastle Park

Hearts vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
Hearts 2 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 7.45pm
Falkirk 0 - 1 Celtic
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Benjamin Nygren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hearts win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Celtic has a probability of 32.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Celtic win is 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.96%).

Result

Hearts 43.9% (+4.76)
Draw 24.03% (+0.46)
Celtic 32.04% (-5.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.76% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.15% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 20.85% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 57.01% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 42.99% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 35.24% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 64.73% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 20.46% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 79.54% (+0.36)

First Half Winner

Hearts 34.98% (+7.14)
Draw 37.41% (-1.02)
Celtic 27.62% (-6.13)

Team To Score First

Hearts 52.91% (+7.78)
No Goal 5.34% (+0.01)
Celtic 41.75% (-7.79)

Corners

Over 8 62.98% (+3.28)
Equal 8 10.4% (-0.42)
Under 8 26.62% (-2.87)
Over 9 51.95% (+3.43)
Equal 9 11.03% (-0.16)
Under 9 37.02% (-3.28)
Over 10.5 41.18% (+3.32)
Under 10.5 58.82% (-3.32)

Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 45.72% (+3.36)
Under 1.5 54.28% (-3.36)
Over 2.5 21.22% (+2.25)
Under 2.5 78.78% (-2.25)
Over 3.5 8.06% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 91.94% (-0.79)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 67.94% (-3.19)
Under 0.5 32.06% (+3.20)
Over 1.5 36.43% (-4.01)
Under 1.5 63.57% (+4.01)
Over 2.5 14.63% (-3.02)
Under 2.5 85.37% (+3.03)
Over 3.5 4.92% (-1.04)
Under 3.5 95.08% (+1.04)

Score analysis

Hearts 43.89%
Draw 24.03%
Celtic 32.04%
Hearts
2-1 @ 8.9% (+0.62)
1-0 @ 8.8% (+1.11)
2-0 @ 6.48% (+0.85)
3-1 @ 4.98% (+0.54)
3-0 @ 3.47% (+0.50)
3-2 @ 3.33% (+0.46)
Other @ 7.93% (+0.72)
Total : 43.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.22% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.06)
Total : 24.03%
Celtic
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.71)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.58)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.88)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.60)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.50)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.88)
Other @ 4.79% (-1.10)
Total : 32.04%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Dec 7, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Hyun-Jun Yang 35' yellowcard
  • Kieran Tierney 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Milne 36'
  • goal Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Steinwender 62'
  • goal Oisin McEntee 64'
Scottish Premiership
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Oct 26, 2025 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Daizen Maeda 17' goal
  • Jota 24' goal
  • Daizen Maeda 41' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Forrester 55'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • James Penrice 70' yellowcard
  • Musa Drammeh 82' goal
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 55'
  • yellowcard Daizen Maeda 59'
  • goal Nicolas Kuhn 60'
  • goal Adam Idah 78'
  • goal Adam Idah 90'+4'