Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Cappielow Park

Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 0 Ross County
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ayr 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Dylan Easton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Raith Rovers has a probability of 35.42% and a draw has a probability of 29.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win is 0-1 (10.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.43%).

Result

Greenock Morton 35.45% (-0.26)
Draw 29.13% (-0.04)
Raith Rovers 35.42% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.33% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.37% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 31.63% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 42.43% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.36% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 78.64% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 10.75% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 89.25% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Greenock Morton 27.96% (+0.13)
Draw 45.15% (-0.32)
Raith Rovers 26.88% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Greenock Morton 44.58% (-0.33)
No Goal 9.9% (-0.02)
Raith Rovers 45.52% (+0.36)

Corners

Over 8 57.75% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 30.5% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.78% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 42.25% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.6% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.39% (+0.02)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 1.5 32% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 68% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 10.9% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 89.1% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 3.04% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.96% (+0.07)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.51% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 32.49% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 32.57% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 67.43% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 11.34% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 88.66% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 3.19% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.81% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 35.44%
Draw 29.13%
Raith Rovers 35.43%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.13% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.93% (-0.09)
Total : 35.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.03)
Total : 29.13%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.08% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.27% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.08% (+0.06)
Total : 35.43%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stark's Park
  • Josh Mullin 39' goal
  • James Gullan 60' yellowcard
  • goal Grant Gillespie 28'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Cappielow Park
  • Nathan Shaw 31' goal
  • Cameron Blues 63' goal
  • Cameron Ballantyne 66' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 75' goal
  • Morgan Boyes 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Gullan 11'
  • goal James Gullan 20'
  • yellowcard Lewis Vaughan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 66'
  • goal Aidan Connolly 90'
  • yellowcard Jordan Doherty 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stark's Park
  • Zak Delaney 59' goal
  • Scott Brown 63' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 81' goal
  • goal Filip Stuparevic 6'
  • goal Filip Stuparevic 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 38'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 88'
  • goal Michael Garrity 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Filip Stuparevic 49' goal
  • Michael Garrity 54' goal
  • Iain Wilson 58' yellowcard
  • Cameron Blues 85' yellowcard
  • Grant Gillespie 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Stevenson 70'