Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.