Scottish Championship
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ochilview Park
  • Nikolay Todorov 8' goal
  • Henry Fieldson 62' goal
  • Michael Ruth 63' yellowcard
  • Scott Martin 63' yellowcard
  • Liam McLeish 72' yellowcard
  • Liam McLeish 73' yellowcard
  • Aidan Connolly 75' goal
  • Magnus MacKenzie 88' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Shiels 3' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nathan Shaw 65'
  • yellowcard Aaron Comrie 65'
  • goal Iain Wilson 72'
  • yellowcard Fergus Owens 77'

Queen's Park vs Greenock Morton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Ross County 0 - 1 Queen's Park
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Aidan Connolly

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Queen's Park 40.18% (+0.48)
Draw 27.78% (-0.27)
Greenock Morton 32.05% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.14% (+1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.96% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 28.04% (-0.82)
Over 2.5 45.97% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 54.03% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 24.7% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 75.3% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 13.01% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 86.99% (-0.53)

First Half Winner

Queen's Park 30.7% (-0.11)
Draw 44.27% (-0.27)
Greenock Morton 25.04% (+0.38)

Team To Score First

Queen's Park 49.61% (+0.50)
No Goal 8.24% (-0.48)
Greenock Morton 42.15% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.66% (+0.75)
Equal 8 11.18% (-0.13)
Under 8 30.16% (-0.63)
Over 9 47.19% (+0.80)
Equal 9 11.47% (-0.06)
Under 9 41.34% (-0.75)
Over 10.5 36.37% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 63.63% (-0.79)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 1.5 37.68% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 62.32% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 14.98% (+0.66)
Under 2.5 85.02% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 4.72% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 95.28% (-0.24)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 66.31% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 33.69% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 31.31% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 68.69% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 10.76% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.24% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Queen's Park 40.16%
Draw 27.77%
Greenock Morton 32.06%
Queen's Park
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.49% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.65% (+0.25)
Total : 40.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.48)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.77%
Greenock Morton
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.66% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.93% (+0.03)
Total : 32.06%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tomi Adeloye 42' goal
  • Kerr Robertson 72' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Halloran 90'+2' goal
  • goal Aidan Connolly 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 52'
Scottish Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Owen Moffat 20' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 51' yellowcard
  • Michael Garrity 66' goal
  • Cameron Blues 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 40'
  • yellowcard Ryan Duncan 56'
  • goal Zak Rudden 71'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • yellowcard Reece Evans 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Reece Evans 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Zak Rudden 23' goal
  • Louis Longridge 43' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 85' yellowcard
  • goal Lamar Reynolds 67'
  • goal Michael Garrity 76'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron Blues 17' yellowcard
  • Kirk Broadfoot 66' yellowcard
  • Jack Baird 68' yellowcard
  • Zak Delaney 73' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 74' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 90' redcard
  • goal Zak Rudden 25'
  • yellowcard Dane Murray 68'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 73'
  • yellowcard Roddy MacGregor 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hampden Park
  • Sean Welsh 20' yellowcard
  • Dom Thomas 44' goal
  • Zak Rudden 61' yellowcard
  • Ali Crawford 64' yellowcard
  • Nikola Udjur 72' yellowcard
  • Joshua Scott 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grant Gillespie 38'
  • yellowcard Cameron Ballantyne 50'
  • yellowcard Alex King 82'
  • yellowcard Arron Lyall 90'+2'